NI NOEL ABUEL
Naniniwala si Albay Rep. Joey Salceda na magtuluy-tuloy na ang rollback sa presyo ng produktong petrolyo hanggang sa hulig buwan ng kasalukuyang taon dahil sa lumiit na ang pangangailangan ng pandaigdigang demand sa supply ng langis.
Ayon sa kongresista, inaasahan nito ang “isang rollback sa pagbawas sa mga presyo ng langis sa mga natitirang bahagi ng taon kung saan hinimok nito ang pamahalaan na ituon na lamang ang pagsisikap nito sa usapin ng agrikultura at supply ng pagkain.
“The Filipino people, who are net buyers of oil from the world market, can expect some slight to moderate relief on oil prices as global oil supply-demand imbalance appears to be easing. July oil supply deficit narrowed to around 600,000 stock tank barrels, the lowest for the whole of 2022. Oil supply in July also grew by 0.28% but demand grew by just 0.07%,” sabi pa ni Salceda, chairman ng House Ways and Mean.,
“With the US Federal Reserve maintaining its policy of gradual rate hikes, and with domestic pressure among US leaders to increase oil supply, as well as global adjustment to a stalemate in Ukraine, I expect net price reductions on oil prices every month for the rest of 2022. Oil futures data appears to say so, as well,” dagdag nito.
Si Salceda, isang dating investment analyst para sa mga pandaigdigang bangko, ay nagsabi na inaasahan nito na makakita ang kahalintulad ng recovery Global Financial Crisis, nang ang presyo ng langis ay tumaas noong Abril 2011, bago bumaba noong Setyembre ng parehong taon.
“I see it as possible that global crude prices could go below USD 80 for the first time by October this year. From there it will play between 80 and 95 until global tensions ease permanently. So, we can begin changing our mindset from oil prices to food prices, which is experiencing non-oil threats, such as climate,” aniya pa.
Ayon pa kay Salceda, ang kailangan na lamang gawin ng pamahalaan ay isentro ang pagtukoy para mapababa ang presyo ng pagkain sa panahon na tinukoy ng mga ekonomista nna “ crucial month of September.”
“September will be very critical. Planting season for rice starts. Some milling of sugar is already happening. And corn domestic supply is supposed to begin narrowing this month, as planting takes place next month. We need to focus on fertilizer, financial assistance, and irrigation maintenance this month for rice, to ensure that we have a bumper crop. I had a conversation with DA Senior Usec. Ding Panganiban, who is quite confident that a strong domestic harvest for rice this season will help us tide the effects of more expensive rice imports,” paliwanag pa ni Salceda.
“What we do in September 2022 will affect is in food prices in May 2023. So, we better get these next 30 days right. The Filipino people, who are net buyers of oil from the world market, can expect some slight to moderate relief on oil prices as global oil supply-demand imbalance appears to be easing. July oil supply deficit narrowed to around 600,000 stock tank barrels, the lowest for the whole of 2022. Oil supply in July also grew by 0.28% but demand grew by just 0.07%,” dagdag pa nito.
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